Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Porter wins 39.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Porter 41.2% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 14-5 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Porter 94.1%
Defensive zone
Porter 90.6%
Neutral zone
Porter 91.4%
Result
Kevin Porter favored at 92.2%
92.2%
7.8%
Porter
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
14
(19 meetings)
5
14
Porter
Stamkos
Last 10: Porter 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
5
Porter
Stamkos
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Porter
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
4
8
Porter
Stamkos
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Porter
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
39.2% (469)
50.5% (9,825)
-11.3%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
55.2% (1,729)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
49.6% (827)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Porter is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (210).
Porter shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
Porter
Stamkos
Home
41.6% (274)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
37.3% (260)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Porter
Stamkos
P1
37.1%
49.2%
P2
44.9%
52.7%
P3
36.7%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
39.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Porter
50.0%▲
42.0%
39.5%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Kevin Porter |
| Feb 5, 2016 | 3 | 04:08 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 11:09 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 3 | 17:41 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 3 | 17:31 | Neutral | Kevin Porter |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 3 | 16:19 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Porter |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 2 | 08:00 | Neutral | Kevin Porter |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 2 | 02:38 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 2 | 02:30 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 09:42 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 14:29 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 02:16 | Neutral | Kevin Porter |