Scouting Report
Kevin Rooney holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Reichel on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rooney wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Reichel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 46.4% vs Reichel 41.6% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reichel 75.8%
Defensive zone
Rooney 59.0%
Neutral zone
Reichel 54.0%
Result
Lukas Reichel favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Rooney
Reichel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Rooney
Reichel
Last 5: Rooney 2-3 Reichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reichel
1
3
Rooney
Reichel
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rooney
1
0
Rooney
Reichel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Reichel
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (2,042)
40.1% (668)
+6.6%
Power Play
41.7% (48)
48.2% (56)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (267)
0.0% (6)
+43.4%
On penalty kill, Rooney has a +43.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reichel shoots left. Rooney is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,570).
Rooney shoots left. Reichel is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Home / Away
Rooney
Reichel
Home
47.4% (1,227)
41.2% (410)
Away
44.9% (1,130)
39.4% (320)
By Period
Rooney
Reichel
P1
48.1%
41.9%
P2
47.1%
36.3%
P3
43.6%
42.8%
OT
12.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2025 | 2 | 09:10 | Offensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:40 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |