Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Rooney wins 35.1% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 45.9% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (-2.5%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 50.3%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 62.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 57.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Rooney
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
42.2% (102)
44.7% (1,053)
-2.5%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
36.8% (95)
-36.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
65.0% (20)
+35.0%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +36.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Rooney is 35.1% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Rooney shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Rooney
MacKinnon
Home
42.0% (69)
49.4% (553)
Away
41.7% (36)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Rooney
MacKinnon
P1
35.7%
45.3%
P2
48.4%
42.7%
P3
43.8%
45.1%
Final 5 min
43.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
41.9%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
44.4%