Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Rooney on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 46.4% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 71.9%
Defensive zone
Rooney 52.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 56.5%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Rooney
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Rooney
Bjugstad
Last 9: Rooney 5-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
2
1
Rooney
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Rooney
Bjugstad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (2,042)
48.6% (6,566)
-1.9%
Power Play
41.7% (48)
55.2% (828)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (267)
44.1% (612)
-0.7%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Rooney is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (787).
Rooney shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,695).
Home / Away
Rooney
Bjugstad
Home
47.4% (1,227)
50.0% (3,981)
Away
44.9% (1,130)
48.0% (4,025)
By Period
Rooney
Bjugstad
P1
48.1%
49.1%
P2
47.1%
49.0%
P3
43.6%
48.4%
OT
12.5%
61.3%
Final 5 min
47.7%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 15:14 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 03:17 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 14:48 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 11:37 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 04:57 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 02:08 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 15:10 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |