Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rooney wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 46.4% vs Zacha 49.2% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 58.6%
Defensive zone
Rooney 80.5%
Neutral zone
Rooney 63.5%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Rooney
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
13
(22 meetings)
9
13
Rooney
Zacha
Last 10: Rooney 2-8 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
5
6
Rooney
Zacha
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Rooney
Zacha
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Rooney
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (2,042)
48.9% (5,156)
-2.2%
Power Play
41.7% (48)
55.7% (813)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (267)
42.2% (557)
+1.2%
On power play, Zacha has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Rooney is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,570).
Rooney shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Home / Away
Rooney
Zacha
Home
47.4% (1,227)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
44.9% (1,130)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Rooney
Zacha
P1
48.1%
49.9%
P2
47.1%
49.2%
P3
43.6%
48.2%
OT
12.5%
53.5%
Final 5 min
47.7%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 13:11 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 02:19 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 02:15 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 05:19 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 06:08 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 11:19 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 14:57 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 19:32 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 15:22 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 12:37 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 07:33 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 3 | 18:13 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 2 | 13:49 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |