Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rooney wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 46.4% vs Zacha 49.1% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 61.5%
Defensive zone
Rooney 79.1%
Neutral zone
Rooney 59.3%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Rooney
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
13
(22 meetings)
9
13
Rooney
Zacha
Last 10: Rooney 2-8 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
5
6
Rooney
Zacha
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Rooney
Zacha
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Rooney
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (2,042)
48.8% (4,953)
-2.1%
Power Play
41.7% (48)
55.8% (788)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (267)
42.0% (547)
+1.4%
On power play, Zacha has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Rooney is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,570).
Rooney shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,816).
Home / Away
Rooney
Zacha
Home
47.4% (1,227)
49.6% (3,278)
Away
44.9% (1,130)
48.5% (3,010)
By Period
Rooney
Zacha
P1
48.1%
49.9%
P2
47.1%
49.1%
P3
43.6%
47.9%
OT
12.5%
54.9%
Final 5 min
47.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 13:11 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 02:19 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 02:15 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 05:19 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 06:08 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 11:19 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 14:57 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 19:32 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 15:22 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 12:37 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 07:33 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 3 | 18:13 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 2 | 13:49 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |