Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Rooney wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 46.4% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Rooney 65.2%
Defensive zone
Rooney 50.0%
Neutral zone
Rooney 60.4%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Rooney
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Rooney
Kuraly
Last 10: Rooney 3-7 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
4
1
Rooney
Kuraly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
8
Rooney
Kuraly
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
4
Rooney
Kuraly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (2,042)
51.5% (5,067)
-4.8%
Power Play
41.7% (48)
56.0% (100)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (267)
44.0% (1,063)
-0.6%
On power play, Kuraly has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Rooney is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,570).
Rooney shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,037).
Home / Away
Rooney
Kuraly
Home
47.4% (1,227)
51.7% (3,152)
Away
44.9% (1,130)
48.7% (3,079)
By Period
Rooney
Kuraly
P1
48.1%
50.8%
P2
47.1%
50.0%
P3
43.6%
49.9%
OT
12.5%
54.8%
Final 5 min
47.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 06:21 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 17:59 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:18 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 2 | 08:59 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 1 | 13:16 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 1 | 04:13 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:31 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 12, 2021 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:50 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 10, 2021 | 3 | 09:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |