Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Rooney on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). Rooney wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 46.4% vs Monahan 51.2% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Rooney leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 91.9%
Defensive zone
Rooney 50.3%
Neutral zone
Monahan 73.1%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Rooney
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
10
(24 meetings)
14
10
Rooney
Monahan
Last 10: Rooney 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
4
Rooney
Monahan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
11
1
Rooney
Monahan
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
5
Rooney
Monahan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (2,042)
51.1% (11,407)
-4.4%
Power Play
41.7% (48)
53.6% (2,582)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (267)
45.9% (772)
-2.5%
On power play, Monahan has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Rooney is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,570).
Rooney shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Rooney
Monahan
Home
47.4% (1,227)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
44.9% (1,130)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Rooney
Monahan
P1
48.1%
51.0%
P2
47.1%
51.7%
P3
43.6%
51.0%
OT
12.5%
53.5%
Final 5 min
47.7%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 11:38 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 06:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 11:31 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 02:16 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 02:09 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 13:46 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 06:18 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 03:02 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 05:45 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 2 | 14:28 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 2 | 00:54 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |