Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ostapchuk on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rooney wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 46.4% vs Ostapchuk 48.7% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rooney 55.2%
Defensive zone
Rooney 73.3%
Neutral zone
Rooney 64.5%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Rooney
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Rooney
Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
1
Rooney
Ostapchuk
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
1
2
Rooney
Ostapchuk
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
2
Rooney
Ostapchuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (2,042)
49.1% (632)
-2.4%
Power Play
41.7% (48)
28.6% (7)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (267)
45.5% (66)
-2.1%
On power play, Rooney has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Rooney is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,570).
Rooney shoots left. Ostapchuk is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Rooney
Ostapchuk
Home
47.4% (1,227)
48.6% (329)
Away
44.9% (1,130)
48.4% (376)
By Period
Rooney
Ostapchuk
P1
48.1%
48.5%
P2
47.1%
46.4%
P3
43.6%
50.7%
Final 5 min
47.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 02:10 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |