Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Okposo on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.9% vs Okposo 48.7% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Okposo 85.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 82.7%
Neutral zone
Okposo 57.9%
Result
Kyle Okposo favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Stenlund
Okposo
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Stenlund
Okposo
Last 7: Stenlund 3-4 Okposo
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stenlund
Okposo
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
1
2
Stenlund
Okposo
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Okposo
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,738)
49.1% (1,513)
+6.2%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
50.1% (391)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (924)
39.7% (151)
+10.7%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Okposo shoots right. Stenlund is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (932).
Stenlund shoots right. Okposo is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (532).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Okposo
Home
54.3% (1,873)
50.2% (990)
Away
53.8% (1,905)
47.1% (1,065)
By Period
Stenlund
Okposo
P1
56.2%
48.8%
P2
53.3%
49.6%
P3
53.0%
47.3%
OT
52.9%
48.7%
Final 5 min
53.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 02:28 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 16:24 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 02:54 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 02:40 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:15 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |