Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Rossi 50.2% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 59.4%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 90.3%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 62.7%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Stenlund
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stenlund
Rossi
Last 6: Stenlund 4-2 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Stenlund
Rossi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
0
Stenlund
Rossi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund
Rossi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (650)
52.3% (428)
+3.9%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
35.1% (37)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (312)
37.0% (27)
+14.6%
On power play, Stenlund has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Stenlund shoots right. Rossi is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Rossi
Home
56.9% (483)
50.0% (260)
Away
52.5% (526)
50.4% (232)
By Period
Stenlund
Rossi
P1
54.2%
55.0%
P2
53.2%
47.9%
P3
56.9%
47.7%
OT
42.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Rossi
52.0%▬
52.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 02:42 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:29 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |