Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 17 meetings). Stenlund wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.9% vs Rossi 46.8% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 21-10 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Stenlund 74.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 98.6%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 88.9%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 90.9%
90.9%
9.1%
Stenlund
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
10
(31 meetings)
21
10
Stenlund
Rossi
Last 10: Stenlund 7-3 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
5
Stenlund
Rossi
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
14
3
Stenlund
Rossi
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
5
2
Stenlund
Rossi
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,738)
46.8% (2,180)
+8.5%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
47.1% (189)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (924)
34.1% (44)
+16.3%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,846).
Stenlund shoots right. Rossi is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Rossi
Home
54.3% (1,873)
47.8% (1,225)
Away
53.8% (1,905)
45.4% (1,188)
By Period
Stenlund
Rossi
P1
56.2%
47.1%
P2
53.3%
44.7%
P3
53.0%
48.2%
OT
52.9%
45.8%
Final 5 min
53.4%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 02:42 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:29 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 03:31 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 13:14 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 09:58 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:59 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:14 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:49 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 17:29 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 09:51 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 01:30 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |