Kevin Stenlund vs Mason McTavish
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Stenlund wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.9% vs McTavish 48.7% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
McTavish leads 17-10 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 92.0%
Defensive zone
McTavish 52.8%
Neutral zone
McTavish 77.4%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 78.0%
22.0%
78.0%
Stenlund
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
17
(27 meetings)
10
17
Stenlund
McTavish
Last 10: Stenlund 3-7 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
11
Stenlund
McTavish
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
6
1
Stenlund
McTavish
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
5
Stenlund
McTavish
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,738)
48.2% (2,790)
+7.1%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
52.8% (436)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (924)
34.3% (35)
+16.1%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,846).
Stenlund shoots right. McTavish is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
Home / Away
Stenlund
McTavish
Home
54.3% (1,873)
49.8% (1,680)
Away
53.8% (1,905)
47.4% (1,581)
By Period
Stenlund
McTavish
P1
56.2%
50.0%
P2
53.3%
47.7%
P3
53.0%
48.4%
OT
52.9%
43.5%
Final 5 min
53.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 04:35 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 04:15 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 01:41 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 09:51 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 07:30 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 18:55 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 09:19 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 19:45 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 12:23 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 04:07 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 02:39 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:55 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:13 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:54 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |