Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Stenlund wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Boldy shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.9% vs Boldy 48.0% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Boldy 68.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 97.9%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 74.6%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Stenlund
Boldy
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Stenlund
Boldy
Last 10: Stenlund 8-2 Boldy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boldy
2
4
Stenlund
Boldy
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
7
0
Stenlund
Boldy
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Boldy
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,738)
47.6% (336)
+7.7%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
48.2% (141)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (924)
40.0% (15)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boldy shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,846).
Stenlund shoots right. Boldy is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Boldy
Home
54.3% (1,873)
46.9% (277)
Away
53.8% (1,905)
48.4% (215)
By Period
Stenlund
Boldy
P1
56.2%
41.9%
P2
53.3%
51.6%
P3
53.0%
51.5%
OT
52.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
Boldy
52.0%▲
45.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 14:52 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 08:14 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 1 | 02:15 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 18:59 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:11 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |