Kevin Stenlund vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Backlund 49.8% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 64.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 63.8%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 59.4%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Stenlund
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Stenlund
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (650)
50.5% (944)
+5.7%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
51.5% (66)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (312)
47.1% (297)
+4.5%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Stenlund shoots right. Backlund is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Backlund
Home
56.9% (483)
48.1% (636)
Away
52.5% (526)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Stenlund
Backlund
P1
54.2%
45.4%
P2
53.2%
54.1%
P3
56.9%
49.2%
OT
42.1%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.5%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 05:58 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 12:53 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 01:16 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |