Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.9% vs Dowd 50.7% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stenlund 84.3%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 55.6%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 59.6%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Stenlund
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Stenlund
Dowd
Last 10: Stenlund 6-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
0
Stenlund
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
4
Stenlund
Dowd
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
1
Stenlund
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,738)
52.3% (6,036)
+3.0%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
56.1% (164)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (924)
44.1% (1,638)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Stenlund is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (932).
Stenlund shoots right. Dowd is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,681).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Dowd
Home
54.3% (1,873)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
53.8% (1,905)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Stenlund
Dowd
P1
56.2%
51.5%
P2
53.3%
50.4%
P3
53.0%
50.3%
OT
52.9%
45.9%
Final 5 min
53.4%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:36 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:00 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 1 | 01:42 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 02:30 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 04:29 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 06:13 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 09:41 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |