Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.9% vs Acciari 51.2% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 60.5%
Defensive zone
Acciari 61.3%
Neutral zone
Acciari 55.0%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Stenlund
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Stenlund
Acciari
Last 9: Stenlund 4-5 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
1
Stenlund
Acciari
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stenlund
Acciari
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Stenlund
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,738)
52.8% (3,304)
+2.5%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
48.3% (87)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (924)
47.0% (1,073)
+3.4%
On power play, Stenlund has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Stenlund is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (932).
Stenlund shoots right. Acciari is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,196).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Acciari
Home
54.3% (1,873)
51.9% (2,139)
Away
53.8% (1,905)
50.7% (2,325)
By Period
Stenlund
Acciari
P1
56.2%
52.3%
P2
53.3%
51.5%
P3
53.0%
50.2%
OT
52.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 02:01 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 30, 2023 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 30, 2023 | 2 | 12:46 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 15:37 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 19:57 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 08:10 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |