Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stenlund wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Krebs 45.4% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 63.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 91.8%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 78.0%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 87.8%
87.8%
12.2%
Stenlund
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stenlund
Krebs
Last 7: Stenlund 5-2 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
4
1
Stenlund
Krebs
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund
Krebs
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (650)
44.4% (403)
+11.8%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
33.3% (6)
+19.9%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (312)
45.0% (20)
+6.6%
On power play, Stenlund has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Stenlund shoots right. Krebs is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Krebs
Home
56.9% (483)
46.3% (205)
Away
52.5% (526)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Stenlund
Krebs
P1
54.2%
47.0%
P2
53.2%
45.4%
P3
56.9%
40.7%
OT
42.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 12:01 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 06:42 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:25 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 08:52 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |