Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Stenlund wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.9% vs Krebs 45.9% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Stenlund 61.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 86.2%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 77.6%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Stenlund
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Stenlund
Krebs
Last 10: Stenlund 7-3 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
2
Stenlund
Krebs
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
7
2
Stenlund
Krebs
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
2
3
Stenlund
Krebs
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,738)
46.0% (2,174)
+9.3%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
52.5% (101)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (924)
38.6% (171)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,846).
Stenlund shoots right. Krebs is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (891).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Krebs
Home
54.3% (1,873)
45.6% (1,199)
Away
53.8% (1,905)
45.8% (1,247)
By Period
Stenlund
Krebs
P1
56.2%
45.9%
P2
53.3%
46.5%
P3
53.0%
44.7%
OT
52.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 12:01 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 06:42 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:25 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 08:52 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:52 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 18:27 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 13:13 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |