Kevin Stenlund vs Phillip Danault
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 55.0%). Stenlund wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Danault 54.5% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 66.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 65.2%
Neutral zone
Danault 50.9%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Stenlund
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Stenlund
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (650)
56.2% (745)
+0.0%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
45.1% (51)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (312)
51.6% (124)
+0.0%
On power play, Stenlund has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Stenlund shoots right. Danault is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Danault
Home
56.9% (483)
56.7% (402)
Away
52.5% (526)
53.7% (518)
By Period
Stenlund
Danault
P1
54.2%
55.5%
P2
53.2%
54.2%
P3
56.9%
55.2%
OT
42.1%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.5%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:47 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |