Kevin Stenlund vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stenlund wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Dubois 48.9% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 71.4%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 80.7%
Neutral zone
Dubois 53.1%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Stenlund
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Stenlund
Dubois
Last 8: Stenlund 4-4 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
2
Stenlund
Dubois
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Stenlund
Dubois
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
1
Stenlund
Dubois
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (650)
44.8% (259)
+11.4%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
70.6% (34)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (312)
75.0% (8)
-23.4%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Stenlund shoots right. Dubois is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Dubois
Home
56.9% (483)
46.6% (163)
Away
52.5% (526)
50.7% (138)
By Period
Stenlund
Dubois
P1
54.2%
44.0%
P2
53.2%
51.5%
P3
56.9%
49.5%
OT
42.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Dubois
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 09:54 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 15:14 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 11:30 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 11:28 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |