Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Suter 48.3% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 66.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 89.7%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 62.6%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Stenlund
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Stenlund
Suter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Suter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
1
Stenlund
Suter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (650)
49.7% (372)
+6.5%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
47.4% (19)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (312)
39.8% (83)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Stenlund shoots right. Suter is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Suter
Home
56.9% (483)
47.1% (242)
Away
52.5% (526)
48.7% (232)
By Period
Stenlund
Suter
P1
54.2%
48.2%
P2
53.2%
47.7%
P3
56.9%
48.8%
OT
42.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Suter
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:27 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:55 | Neutral | Pius Suter |