Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kupari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs Kupari 47.9% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 60.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 83.5%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 71.5%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Stenlund
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Stenlund
Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Kupari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
0
Stenlund
Kupari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
47.2% (144)
+7.2%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
0.0% (1)
+42.9%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
45.5% (22)
-1.4%
On power play, Stenlund has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Stenlund is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Stenlund shoots right. Kupari is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (46).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Kupari
Home
50.7% (402)
48.3% (87)
Away
52.0% (433)
45.0% (80)
By Period
Stenlund
Kupari
P1
56.5%
48.5%
P2
52.4%
41.3%
P3
45.2%
49.1%
Final 5 min
48.1%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
48.0%▼
53.5%
51.4%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:20 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 09:58 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 09:45 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |