Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +18.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Rakell 41.0% (+18.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rakell 56.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 94.0%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 63.0%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Stenlund
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Stenlund
Rakell
Last 7: Stenlund 4-3 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
1
2
Stenlund
Rakell
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
0
Stenlund
Rakell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rakell
0
1
Stenlund
Rakell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (650)
35.7% (129)
+20.5%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
43.8% (32)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (312)
0.0% (7)
+51.6%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +51.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Stenlund is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Stenlund shoots right. Rakell is 31.0% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Rakell
Home
56.9% (483)
41.5% (82)
Away
52.5% (526)
30.2% (86)
By Period
Stenlund
Rakell
P1
54.2%
35.1%
P2
53.2%
37.5%
P3
56.9%
32.6%
OT
42.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Rakell
42.0%▲
35.5%
35.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 13:39 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |