Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 11 meetings). Stenlund wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Hintz 58.0% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 92.3%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 77.4%
Neutral zone
Hintz 66.0%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Stenlund
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
10
(23 meetings)
13
10
Stenlund
Hintz
Last 10: Stenlund 5-5 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
10
Stenlund
Hintz
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
11
0
Stenlund
Hintz
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (650)
58.7% (530)
-2.5%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
59.4% (170)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (312)
66.7% (27)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Stenlund shoots right. Hintz is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Hintz
Home
56.9% (483)
60.2% (354)
Away
52.5% (526)
58.2% (373)
By Period
Stenlund
Hintz
P1
54.2%
58.4%
P2
53.2%
59.8%
P3
56.9%
58.2%
OT
42.1%
81.8%
Final 5 min
57.5%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 19:01 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 06:38 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 19:30 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 17:15 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 16:38 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 01:43 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |