Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Noesen 49.6% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Noesen 76.3%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 87.1%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 52.0%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Stenlund
Noesen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Stenlund
Noesen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Noesen
0
1
Stenlund
Noesen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Noesen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Noesen
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (650)
64.3% (14)
-8.1%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
36.8% (19)
+16.4%
On power play, Stenlund has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Noesen shoots right. Stenlund is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Stenlund shoots right. Noesen is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Noesen
Home
56.9% (483)
42.9% (14)
Away
52.5% (526)
52.6% (19)
By Period
Stenlund
Noesen
P1
54.2%
35.7%
P2
53.2%
50.0%
P3
56.9%
80.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 13:09 | Offensive | Stefan Noesen |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 12:03 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |