Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.0% vs Noesen 49.6% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Noesen 76.6%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 85.9%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 54.1%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Stenlund
Noesen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Stenlund
Noesen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Noesen
0
1
Stenlund
Noesen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Noesen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Noesen
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (500)
64.3% (14)
-9.3%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
36.8% (19)
+13.2%
On power play, Stenlund has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Noesen shoots right. Stenlund is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Stenlund shoots right. Noesen is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Noesen
Home
55.5% (346)
42.9% (14)
Away
51.7% (437)
52.6% (19)
By Period
Stenlund
Noesen
P1
54.4%
35.7%
P2
51.7%
50.0%
P3
54.8%
80.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
48.0%▼
53.5%
53.4%
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 13:09 | Offensive | Stefan Noesen |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 12:03 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |