Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Stenlund wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.9% vs Stützle 45.7% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 79.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 76.9%
Neutral zone
Stützle 58.3%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Stenlund
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Stenlund
Stützle
Last 9: Stenlund 4-5 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
2
Stenlund
Stützle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
4
3
Stenlund
Stützle
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,738)
45.1% (2,308)
+10.2%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
54.9% (102)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (924)
47.7% (88)
+2.7%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,846).
Stenlund shoots right. Stützle is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (998).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Stützle
Home
54.3% (1,873)
47.5% (1,285)
Away
53.8% (1,905)
43.4% (1,213)
By Period
Stenlund
Stützle
P1
56.2%
47.0%
P2
53.3%
45.3%
P3
53.0%
44.2%
OT
52.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.4%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
Stützle
50.0%▬
49.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:31 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 08:22 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:12 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 06:09 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |