Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stenlund wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Motte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.9% vs Motte 44.0% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Stenlund 55.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 86.7%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 69.3%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Stenlund
Motte
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Stenlund
Motte
Last 10: Stenlund 5-5 Motte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Motte
3
5
Stenlund
Motte
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
4
1
Stenlund
Motte
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
2
Stenlund
Motte
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,738)
43.6% (424)
+11.7%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
41.7% (12)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (924)
37.9% (66)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,846).
Stenlund shoots right. Motte is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Motte
Home
54.3% (1,873)
45.2% (248)
Away
53.8% (1,905)
40.6% (254)
By Period
Stenlund
Motte
P1
56.2%
44.6%
P2
53.3%
42.1%
P3
53.0%
41.8%
OT
52.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2025 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 01:54 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 02:03 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Tyler Motte |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Tyler Motte |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:08 | Neutral | Tyler Motte |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 10:10 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 04:25 | Offensive | Tyler Motte |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 04:09 | Neutral | Tyler Motte |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 01:56 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Tyler Motte |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Tyler Motte |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 01:47 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Tyler Motte |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |