Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Dach wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 37.3% vs Backlund 49.0% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Dach 83.9%
Defensive zone
Dach 83.9%
Neutral zone
Dach 88.9%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 86.4%
86.4%
13.6%
Dach
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Dach
Backlund
Last 10: Dach 1-9 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dach
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Dach
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
5
Dach
Backlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (1,423)
49.7% (13,463)
-13.2%
Power Play
35.7% (98)
51.5% (1,338)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (25)
43.9% (2,465)
-7.9%
On power play, Backlund has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Dach is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Dach shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,251).
Home / Away
Dach
Backlund
Home
37.0% (857)
49.7% (8,621)
Away
35.8% (689)
48.3% (8,650)
By Period
Dach
Backlund
P1
35.3%
48.5%
P2
34.5%
50.3%
P3
40.4%
48.4%
OT
0.0%
45.1%
Final 5 min
39.9%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
36.5%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 01:21 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 09:08 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 3 | 14:25 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 1 | 07:03 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 09:41 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |