Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dach on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dach wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 37.3% vs Greig 49.0% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Dach leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Greig 61.3%
Defensive zone
Greig 92.6%
Neutral zone
Greig 78.0%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 78.8%
21.2%
78.8%
Dach
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Dach
Greig
Last 10: Dach 6-4 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
1
2
Dach
Greig
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dach
Greig
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dach
3
0
Dach
Greig
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (1,423)
48.7% (1,144)
-12.2%
Power Play
35.7% (98)
56.8% (74)
-21.1%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (25)
47.2% (178)
-11.2%
On power play, Greig has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Dach is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Dach shoots right. Greig is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
Dach
Greig
Home
37.0% (857)
49.9% (688)
Away
35.8% (689)
48.0% (708)
By Period
Dach
Greig
P1
35.3%
46.0%
P2
34.5%
51.8%
P3
40.4%
49.1%
OT
0.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
39.9%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
36.5%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 12:36 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 12:27 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 07:49 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 12:14 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 04:22 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 2 | 18:22 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 1 | 17:09 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:37 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |