Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lafferty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dach wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 37.3% vs Lafferty 47.5% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 84.5%
Defensive zone
Dach 55.1%
Neutral zone
Dach 75.5%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Dach
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Dach
Lafferty
Last 5: Dach 1-4 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dach
1
0
Dach
Lafferty
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
3
Dach
Lafferty
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Dach
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (1,423)
47.9% (1,417)
-11.4%
Power Play
35.7% (98)
45.7% (46)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (25)
43.5% (184)
-7.5%
On even strength, Lafferty has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Dach is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (435).
Dach shoots right. Lafferty is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Dach
Lafferty
Home
37.0% (857)
47.3% (833)
Away
35.8% (689)
47.4% (814)
By Period
Dach
Lafferty
P1
35.3%
49.4%
P2
34.5%
43.1%
P3
40.4%
49.6%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
39.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
36.5%
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 08:12 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:03 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 02:37 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |