Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Dach wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 37.3% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 82.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 86.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 54.7%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Dach
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Dach
Kuraly
Last 8: Dach 4-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dach
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dach
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dach
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (1,423)
51.6% (5,161)
-15.1%
Power Play
35.7% (98)
56.4% (101)
-20.7%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (25)
44.4% (1,091)
-8.4%
On power play, Kuraly has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Dach is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Dach shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,235).
Home / Away
Dach
Kuraly
Home
37.0% (857)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
35.8% (689)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Dach
Kuraly
P1
35.3%
51.2%
P2
34.5%
50.0%
P3
40.4%
50.2%
OT
0.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
39.9%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
36.5%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 10:07 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 13:32 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 18:00 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 04:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Feb 5, 2020 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |