Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Dach wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 37.3% vs Aho 51.3% (-14.8%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 51.2%
Defensive zone
Dach 60.9%
Neutral zone
Dach 59.1%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Dach
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Dach
Aho
Last 10: Dach 3-7 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
3
Dach
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dach
1
0
Dach
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
2
4
Dach
Aho
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (1,423)
50.2% (6,646)
-13.7%
Power Play
35.7% (98)
58.9% (1,310)
-23.2%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (25)
46.5% (465)
-10.5%
On power play, Aho has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Dach is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Dach shoots right. Aho is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,104).
Home / Away
Dach
Aho
Home
37.0% (857)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
35.8% (689)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Dach
Aho
P1
35.3%
51.1%
P2
34.5%
52.1%
P3
40.4%
50.8%
OT
0.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
39.9%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
36.5%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2021 | 3 | 00:17 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 2 | 10:07 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 2 | 06:16 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 03:55 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 05:13 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 08:10 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 16:04 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |