Scouting Report
Tyson Jost holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Dach wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 37.3% vs Jost 40.5% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 69.8%
Defensive zone
Dach 51.1%
Neutral zone
Dach 60.4%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Dach
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Dach
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
2
Dach
Jost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Dach
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dach
1
0
Dach
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (1,423)
41.0% (2,016)
-4.5%
Power Play
35.7% (98)
34.2% (73)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (25)
35.2% (256)
+0.8%
On even strength, Jost has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Dach is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Dach shoots right. Jost is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (876).
Home / Away
Dach
Jost
Home
37.0% (857)
41.9% (1,240)
Away
35.8% (689)
38.1% (1,105)
By Period
Dach
Jost
P1
35.3%
38.5%
P2
34.5%
41.1%
P3
40.4%
40.9%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
39.9%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
36.5%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 13:38 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 07:05 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 04:26 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |