Scouting Report
Tyson Jost holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Dach wins 31.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 35.5% vs Jost 42.2% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 73.6%
Defensive zone
Jost 53.2%
Neutral zone
Dach 60.5%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Dach
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Dach
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
2
Dach
Jost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Dach
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dach
1
0
Dach
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
32.5% (510)
40.8% (314)
-8.3%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
37.5% (8)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
39.4% (104)
-1.9%
On even strength, Jost has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Dach is 31.7% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Dach shoots right. Jost is 36.0% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Dach
Jost
Home
33.5% (278)
42.8% (264)
Away
32.2% (267)
36.4% (162)
By Period
Dach
Jost
P1
35.3%
37.4%
P2
30.6%
40.5%
P3
33.7%
43.3%
Final 5 min
38.6%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
32.8%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 13:38 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 07:05 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 04:26 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |