Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Versteeg wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Versteeg 47.1% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Versteeg 88.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 56.0%
Neutral zone
Versteeg 69.6%
Result
Kris Versteeg favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Versteeg
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Versteeg
O'Reilly
Last 9: Versteeg 3-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Versteeg
3
1
Versteeg
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Versteeg
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Versteeg
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Versteeg
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (436)
56.2% (15,103)
-8.0%
Power Play
41.1% (112)
58.7% (3,395)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
51.6% (2,769)
-15.9%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Versteeg is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Versteeg shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,572).
Home / Away
Versteeg
O'Reilly
Home
49.8% (267)
57.6% (10,669)
Away
43.6% (296)
54.4% (10,631)
By Period
Versteeg
O'Reilly
P1
46.1%
55.5%
P2
41.9%
57.0%
P3
53.7%
55.2%
OT
44.4%
62.7%
Final 5 min
43.2%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Versteeg
50.0%▼
54.5%
46.5%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Kris Versteeg |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 00:36 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Kris Versteeg |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 11:08 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 07:53 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Kris Versteeg |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |