Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.7% vs Thompson 52.9% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Brodziak leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 55.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 54.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 58.9%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Brodziak
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
15
(31 meetings)
16
15
Brodziak
Thompson
Last 10: Brodziak 3-7 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
9
Brodziak
Thompson
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
6
2
Brodziak
Thompson
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
6
4
Brodziak
Thompson
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (6,432)
54.1% (5,812)
-3.6%
Power Play
52.8% (326)
54.8% (135)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (1,344)
47.9% (1,381)
-2.4%
On even strength, Thompson has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,811).
Brodziak shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Thompson
Home
50.4% (4,044)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
49.0% (4,089)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Brodziak
Thompson
P1
49.2%
53.2%
P2
50.7%
52.9%
P3
49.5%
52.8%
OT
42.0%
47.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2018 | 2 | 08:22 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 19:34 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 17:08 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 13:36 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 02:41 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 18:24 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 11:16 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 15, 2017 | 3 | 05:30 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 15, 2017 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 3 | 17:37 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 3 | 12:19 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 1 | 16:04 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 3 | 02:02 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 3 | 01:55 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 2 | 03:06 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 1 | 16:08 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |