Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on neutral-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chipchura 50.3% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Chipchura 87.2%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 72.7%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 75.4%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Chipchura
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Chipchura
Gaustad
Last 10: Chipchura 4-6 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
4
1
Chipchura
Gaustad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
3
Chipchura
Gaustad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
8
Chipchura
Gaustad
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chipchura
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (2,100)
58.2% (4,334)
-7.3%
Power Play
45.7% (46)
65.4% (188)
-19.7%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (171)
54.8% (1,290)
-9.8%
On power play, Gaustad has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Chipchura is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,553).
Chipchura shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Chipchura
Gaustad
Home
50.7% (1,143)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
49.9% (1,179)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Chipchura
Gaustad
P1
51.1%
58.2%
P2
50.3%
56.4%
P3
48.9%
58.3%
OT
78.6%
66.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
50.3%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2015 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 2 | 03:02 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 04:07 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 31, 2013 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 3 | 02:40 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 3 | 16:34 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 14:15 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 13:23 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 01:06 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 3 | 10:00 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 2 | 00:01 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |