Scouting Report
Kyle Chipchura holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Chipchura wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chipchura 50.3% vs Nash 48.5% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 58.8%
Defensive zone
Nash 58.3%
Neutral zone
Nash 58.2%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Chipchura
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Chipchura
Nash
Last 6: Chipchura 2-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
3
Chipchura
Nash
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
1
0
Chipchura
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Chipchura
Nash
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chipchura
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (2,100)
48.7% (4,621)
+2.2%
Power Play
45.7% (46)
51.0% (249)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (171)
44.9% (550)
+0.1%
On power play, Nash has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Chipchura is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (769).
Chipchura shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Chipchura
Nash
Home
50.7% (1,143)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
49.9% (1,179)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Chipchura
Nash
P1
51.1%
49.0%
P2
50.3%
47.9%
P3
48.9%
48.0%
OT
78.6%
68.4%
Final 5 min
50.3%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
50.3%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 15:37 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 1 | 18:34 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 1 | 05:04 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 1 | 04:59 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |