Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for MacLean on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 47.9% vs Zibanejad 50.0% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
MacLean leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 71.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 71.0%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 68.5%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 70.4%
29.6%
70.4%
MacLean
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
MacLean
Zibanejad
Last 7: MacLean 3-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
3
1
MacLean
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
2
0
MacLean
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
3
MacLean
Zibanejad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (852)
50.9% (11,756)
-3.7%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
52.2% (1,852)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (30)
41.6% (1,796)
+15.1%
On penalty kill, MacLean has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. MacLean is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (318).
MacLean shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Home / Away
MacLean
Zibanejad
Home
46.9% (429)
51.6% (7,603)
Away
48.4% (461)
48.3% (7,802)
By Period
MacLean
Zibanejad
P1
46.4%
50.4%
P2
49.7%
49.7%
P3
46.5%
49.9%
Final 5 min
54.9%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
54.0%▼
56.5%
47.6%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 05:11 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 06:33 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:30 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 07:44 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 03:19 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 13:55 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |