Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.6% vs 47.8%). Look for Barron on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacLean wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 47.9% vs Barron 48.0% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacLean 62.0%
Defensive zone
Barron 72.8%
Neutral zone
MacLean 51.0%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
MacLean
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
MacLean
Barron
Last 6: MacLean 1-5 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
2
MacLean
Barron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
1
MacLean
Barron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barron
1
2
MacLean
Barron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (852)
49.4% (741)
-2.2%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
50.0% (6)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (30)
42.3% (222)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, MacLean has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. MacLean is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (572).
MacLean shoots left. Barron is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
MacLean
Barron
Home
46.9% (429)
45.2% (480)
Away
48.4% (461)
50.3% (489)
By Period
MacLean
Barron
P1
46.4%
48.0%
P2
49.7%
50.7%
P3
46.5%
44.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
54.0%▼
56.5%
47.6%
Barron
44.0%▲
41.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 12:57 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 09:11 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 05:22 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 05:18 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |