Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacLean on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacLean wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 47.9% vs Kadri 48.6% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 64.9%
Defensive zone
MacLean 52.8%
Neutral zone
Kadri 50.6%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
MacLean
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
MacLean
Kadri
Last 5: MacLean 3-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
2
1
MacLean
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacLean
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (852)
48.1% (12,555)
-0.9%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
53.0% (1,892)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (30)
41.0% (293)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, MacLean has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. MacLean is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (572).
MacLean shoots left. Kadri is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,402).
Home / Away
MacLean
Kadri
Home
46.9% (429)
49.1% (7,493)
Away
48.4% (461)
48.1% (7,250)
By Period
MacLean
Kadri
P1
46.4%
49.1%
P2
49.7%
48.7%
P3
46.5%
47.9%
Final 5 min
54.9%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
54.0%▼
56.5%
47.6%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 11:40 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:14 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 02:41 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |