Scouting Report
Kyle MacLean holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for MacLean on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). MacLean wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 47.9% vs Kelly 41.7% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacLean 85.3%
Defensive zone
MacLean 56.1%
Neutral zone
MacLean 79.9%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
MacLean
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
MacLean
Kelly
Last 8: MacLean 5-3 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
1
MacLean
Kelly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacLean
Kelly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacLean
4
1
MacLean
Kelly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (852)
42.0% (758)
+5.2%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
0.0% (3)
+62.5%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (30)
36.8% (174)
+19.9%
On power play, MacLean has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. MacLean is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (572).
MacLean shoots left. Kelly is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
MacLean
Kelly
Home
46.9% (429)
42.4% (476)
Away
48.4% (461)
39.2% (459)
By Period
MacLean
Kelly
P1
46.4%
42.3%
P2
49.7%
44.7%
P3
46.5%
35.6%
Final 5 min
54.9%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
54.0%▼
56.5%
47.6%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:29 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:54 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 06:37 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Parker Kelly |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |