Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for MacLean on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacLean wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 48.5% vs Crosby 56.6% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 64.7%
Defensive zone
MacLean 67.0%
Neutral zone
MacLean 52.9%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
MacLean
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
MacLean
Crosby
Last 7: MacLean 3-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
MacLean
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
2
1
MacLean
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacLean
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (540)
56.2% (1,451)
-8.6%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
61.4% (293)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
60.9% (23)
55.3% (38)
+5.6%
On even strength, Crosby has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. MacLean is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (368).
MacLean shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
MacLean
Crosby
Home
47.6% (273)
59.1% (939)
Away
48.8% (293)
54.7% (843)
By Period
MacLean
Crosby
P1
45.5%
54.9%
P2
48.8%
60.8%
P3
50.0%
55.4%
Final 5 min
59.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.2%
Crosby
36.0%▼
52.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:33 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:40 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 09:32 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 08:32 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |