Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.6% vs 48.5%). Look for Ostapchuk on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). MacLean wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 47.9% vs Ostapchuk 48.7% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacLean 55.9%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 55.0%
Neutral zone
MacLean 56.9%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
MacLean
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
MacLean
Ostapchuk
Last 8: MacLean 1-7 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
2
MacLean
Ostapchuk
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
1
MacLean
Ostapchuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
1
4
MacLean
Ostapchuk
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (852)
49.1% (632)
-1.9%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
28.6% (7)
+33.9%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (30)
45.5% (66)
+11.2%
On power play, MacLean has a +33.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. MacLean is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (572).
MacLean shoots left. Ostapchuk is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
MacLean
Ostapchuk
Home
46.9% (429)
48.6% (329)
Away
48.4% (461)
48.4% (376)
By Period
MacLean
Ostapchuk
P1
46.4%
48.5%
P2
49.7%
46.4%
P3
46.5%
50.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
54.0%▼
56.5%
47.6%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 04:46 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:31 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 05:47 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 05:37 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 02:29 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 15:49 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |