Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Okposo on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Okposo 48.7% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 53.9%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 97.3%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 87.5%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Okposo
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Okposo
Kastelic
Last 5: Okposo 4-1 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
2
1
Okposo
Kastelic
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
1
0
Okposo
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Okposo
1
0
Okposo
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Okposo
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,513)
57.0% (1,635)
-7.9%
Power Play
50.1% (391)
80.0% (25)
-29.9%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (151)
53.8% (279)
-14.1%
On power play, Kastelic has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Okposo is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (532).
Okposo shoots right. Kastelic is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
Okposo
Kastelic
Home
50.2% (990)
58.7% (904)
Away
47.1% (1,065)
55.2% (1,035)
By Period
Okposo
Kastelic
P1
48.8%
58.6%
P2
49.6%
56.5%
P3
47.3%
55.6%
OT
48.7%
53.8%
Final 5 min
49.0%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 12:37 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 06:28 | Neutral | Kyle Okposo |