Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Okposo wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Okposo 47.6% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Okposo 62.1%
Defensive zone
Okposo 63.8%
Neutral zone
Okposo 63.6%
Result
Kyle Okposo favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Okposo
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Okposo
Karlsson
Last 6: Okposo 2-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Okposo
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Okposo
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Okposo
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Okposo
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (276)
55.3% (897)
-6.7%
Power Play
46.4% (28)
61.1% (113)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
50.8% (132)
-13.8%
On power play, Karlsson has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Okposo is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Okposo shoots right. Karlsson is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Okposo
Karlsson
Home
47.4% (156)
58.6% (560)
Away
46.4% (194)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Okposo
Karlsson
P1
45.8%
55.8%
P2
50.3%
55.6%
P3
41.4%
55.7%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.5%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
46.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 12:47 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 15:46 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |