Scouting Report
Martin Necas holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Palmieri wins 35.7% vs right-shot opponents — Necas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Palmieri 37.1% vs Necas 41.9% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Palmieri 70.3%
Defensive zone
Palmieri 62.4%
Neutral zone
Palmieri 64.6%
Result
Kyle Palmieri favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Palmieri
Necas
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Palmieri
Necas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Necas
0
1
Palmieri
Necas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Necas
0
1
Palmieri
Necas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Palmieri
Necas
Edge
Even Strength
32.3% (400)
40.7% (797)
-8.4%
Power Play
42.0% (50)
40.0% (135)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
54.1% (37)
+3.8%
On even strength, Necas has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Necas shoots right. Palmieri is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Palmieri shoots right. Necas is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Palmieri
Necas
Home
37.5% (240)
39.2% (492)
Away
31.0% (229)
43.0% (477)
By Period
Palmieri
Necas
P1
31.3%
39.9%
P2
38.3%
40.6%
P3
33.9%
43.3%
OT
18.2%
41.7%
Final 5 min
38.4%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Palmieri
38.0%▲
35.5%
34.3%
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
41.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 00:18 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 06:13 | Neutral | Martin Necas |