Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Palmieri wins 35.7% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Palmieri 37.1% vs Barzal 42.2% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Palmieri 78.9%
Defensive zone
Palmieri 68.1%
Neutral zone
Palmieri 67.6%
Result
Kyle Palmieri favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Palmieri
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Palmieri
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
2
Palmieri
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Palmieri
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Palmieri
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
32.3% (400)
41.9% (3,558)
-9.6%
Power Play
42.0% (50)
43.4% (205)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
42.3% (26)
+15.6%
On penalty kill, Palmieri has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Palmieri is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Palmieri shoots right. Barzal is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,094).
Home / Away
Palmieri
Barzal
Home
37.5% (240)
43.1% (1,893)
Away
31.0% (229)
40.9% (1,896)
By Period
Palmieri
Barzal
P1
31.3%
40.6%
P2
38.3%
44.4%
P3
33.9%
41.0%
OT
18.2%
27.6%
Final 5 min
38.4%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Palmieri
38.0%▲
35.5%
34.3%
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 12:06 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 7, 2018 | OT | 00:29 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |