Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Palmieri wins 35.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Palmieri 37.1% vs Schmaltz 42.6% (-8.1%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 50.7%
Defensive zone
Palmieri 62.5%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 56.3%
Result
Kyle Palmieri favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Palmieri
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Palmieri
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
32.3% (400)
41.3% (3,431)
-9.0%
Power Play
42.0% (50)
47.3% (655)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
47.4% (135)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, Palmieri has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Palmieri is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Palmieri shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,172).
Home / Away
Palmieri
Schmaltz
Home
37.5% (240)
42.8% (2,114)
Away
31.0% (229)
42.0% (2,107)
By Period
Palmieri
Schmaltz
P1
31.3%
41.3%
P2
38.3%
42.8%
P3
33.9%
43.1%
OT
18.2%
42.4%
Final 5 min
38.4%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Palmieri
38.0%▲
35.5%
34.3%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%