Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Palmieri wins 35.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Palmieri 37.1% vs Schmaltz 42.4% (-7.9%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 50.7%
Defensive zone
Palmieri 63.2%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 56.3%
Result
Kyle Palmieri favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Palmieri
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Palmieri
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
32.3% (400)
41.1% (3,218)
-8.8%
Power Play
42.0% (50)
47.3% (637)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
47.2% (125)
+10.7%
On penalty kill, Palmieri has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Palmieri is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Palmieri shoots right. Schmaltz is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
Home / Away
Palmieri
Schmaltz
Home
37.5% (240)
42.7% (1,978)
Away
31.0% (229)
41.8% (2,002)
By Period
Palmieri
Schmaltz
P1
31.3%
41.1%
P2
38.3%
42.6%
P3
33.9%
43.0%
OT
18.2%
42.4%
Final 5 min
38.4%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Palmieri
38.0%▲
35.5%
34.3%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
42.2%